Cyclone outlook for the Coral Sea

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by Renenet, Apr 26, 2013.

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  1. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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  2. borntobnude

    borntobnude Guest

    You FNQ ers all always on about the weather Too hot /wet wetand hot , as i tell my mother in mission beach ( who's house was directly under the point on the map when Yasi crossed the coast ) if you live there they will come !!

    And you should know they dont always turn up in the WET ,, wasnt it AVU that came late and took out Ayr and Home Hill
     
  3. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    I simply posted it to let people know that there could be one on the way. Some may not be expecting one this late in the season, especially if they're new to the area.
     
  4. pseudechis4740

    pseudechis4740 Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for the heads up. I had written off this cyclone season.
     
  5. Firepac

    Firepac Subscriber Subscriber

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    At this early stage most main computer models, EC, GFS and BoM's Access model, are in general agreement and have a tropical low/Cat 1 TC crossing the Cape somewhere around Princess Charlotte Bay on Tuesday. Obviously things can change over the next few days. Certainly worth keeping an eye on.
     
  6. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    I had to look that up. To spare others the trouble, Princess Charlotte Bay is 350 kilometres north of Cairns.

    Firepac, where do you get the EC and GFS model data?
     
  7. Firepac

    Firepac Subscriber Subscriber

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    EC is run twice a day and updated at 5am and 5pm, the link is animated and shows Rainfall and MSLP (Mean Sea Level Pressure). You can clearly see the low approach and cross the Cape Rainfall and MSLP

    GFS can be found on the Weatherzone site 7-day GFS model weather forecast of isobars and rain
     
  8. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    Cool, thanks.
     
  9. SteveNT

    SteveNT Very Well-Known Member

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    May cyclones are rare but it happens. All cyclones have inherent dangers. My advice....treat cyclones like vens. Dont drop your guard.
     
  10. borntobnude

    borntobnude Guest

    yes i understand , i spoke to my mother and her friend ( Lifetime local) the human barometer said it was not going to get as low as M B . good enough for mum to not panic !! and the cassowaries havent left the beach so its probably true .
     
  11. Firepac

    Firepac Subscriber Subscriber

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  12. SteveNT

    SteveNT Very Well-Known Member

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    We're already getting a few storms as it creeps closer. Good thing. Half of Arnhem Land is already on fire after this crap Wet season.
     
  13. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    Good to hear, Steve. I mean, of course, that you're getting rain, not that half of Arnhem land is on fire! We are getting a little bit of wind, but no real rain yet. As I understand it, the cyclone isn't going to affect Cairns directly, but it should bring us some rain. Fingers crossed, the wet season has been total garbage here too.
     
  14. andynic07

    andynic07 Very Well-Known Member

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    .
     
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2013
  15. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    TC Zane is now a category 1 and predicted to become a category 2.

    Tropical Cyclone Advice for System 1 (QLD)

    To quote from the advice:

    A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Grenville to Cape Tribulation.

    A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Mapoon to the Torres Strait Islands to Cape Grenville.
     
  16. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    And now a cat 2, building into a cat 3.

    To anyone in the affected area: stay safe, guys!
     
  17. Firepac

    Firepac Subscriber Subscriber

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    That's inzane development! IMO the stronger he gets the more southerly ( or less northerly ) his track will become as gains the power to erode the ridging that the bom is predicting will send him WNW.

    Edit: by that I don't mean he will go south I mean more westerly rather than WNW, or even WSW depending on his final strength and height.
     
  18. Firepac

    Firepac Subscriber Subscriber

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  19. Renenet

    Renenet Very Well-Known Member

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    At least it seems to be weakening as it approaches the coast. I don't think it actually got to a category 3, unless that happened overnight. Still no rain here in Cairns. If there has to be a cyclone, I really hope we get some water out of it. We need a drink.
     
  20. Zipidee

    Zipidee Active Member

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    Ran out of puff as it approached the coast. Cyclone warnings were cancelled by the BOM this morning.
     
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